Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.005068 0.005348 0.005637 0.005959 0.006308 0.006674 0.007090
2025-11-30 0.004524 0.004924 0.005357 0.005861 0.006434 0.007070 0.007834
2025-12-07 0.004186 0.004649 0.005164 0.005784 0.006514 0.007355 0.008407
2025-12-14 0.003964 0.004475 0.005056 0.005773 0.006644 0.007678 0.009018
2025-12-21 0.003689 0.004215 0.004824 0.005591 0.006542 0.007701 0.009246
2025-12-28 0.003557 0.004112 0.004767 0.005607 0.006674 0.008008 0.009840
2026-01-04 0.003466 0.004051 0.004754 0.005672 0.006863 0.008389 0.010550
2026-01-11 0.003336 0.003935 0.004664 0.005631 0.006908 0.008580 0.011009
2026-01-18 0.003233 0.003846 0.004601 0.005619 0.006987 0.008815 0.011539
2026-01-25 0.003123 0.003744 0.004516 0.005571 0.007012 0.008973 0.011963
2026-02-01 0.003088 0.003734 0.004549 0.005678 0.007249 0.009437 0.012867
2026-02-08 0.003003 0.003656 0.004487 0.005653 0.007300 0.009634 0.013379
2026-02-15 0.002929 0.003591 0.004441 0.005650 0.007383 0.009885 0.013999
2026-02-22 0.002828 0.003486 0.004339 0.005563 0.007340 0.009946 0.014317
2026-03-01 0.002740 0.003395 0.004251 0.005492 0.007316 0.010030 0.014677
2026-03-08 0.002679 0.003338 0.004208 0.005482 0.007379 0.010251 0.015280
2026-03-15 0.002565 0.003207 0.004058 0.005312 0.007195 0.010073 0.015180
2026-03-22 0.002522 0.003170 0.004037 0.005328 0.007291 0.010344 0.015887
2026-03-29 0.002495 0.003155 0.004046 0.005388 0.007457 0.010735 0.016844
2026-04-05 0.002438 0.003097 0.003991 0.005349 0.007468 0.010870 0.017334
2026-04-12 0.002393 0.003053 0.003956 0.005338 0.007520 0.011076 0.017977
2026-04-19 0.002339 0.002996 0.003899 0.005294 0.007516 0.011184 0.018437
2026-04-26 0.002332 0.003004 0.003937 0.005393 0.007749 0.011716 0.019789